- Chang San-cheng 會贏得下一屆桃園市長選舉嗎？93¢93%
- Huang Shih-chieh 會贏得下一屆桃園市長選舉嗎？4¢4%
- Perng Shaw-jiin 會贏得下一屆桃園市長選舉嗎？<1¢<1%
Chang San-cheng maintains a commanding lead in the Taoyuan mayoral race as the Kuomintang incumbent, with trader consensus pricing his re-election at 92.5 percent one month before the November 28 vote. Recent polling shows him ahead of Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh by more than 20 points, supported by higher name recognition, favorability ratings above 50 percent, and voter satisfaction with his record on infrastructure projects, the Aerotropolis development, and social welfare initiatives. Huang's lower profile and the two-candidate structure have limited momentum for alternatives, including Perng Shaw-jiin. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in turnout among independent voters or late developments in the final campaign weeks, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent.
規則
台灣地方選舉預定於2026年11月28日舉行。 本市場將根據在此次選舉中當選桃園市長的候選人進行結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、過渡或代理市長將不予考慮。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET，此次選舉結果仍未公布，或尚未選出任何候選人，本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將依據可信報導的共識所顯示的選舉結果結算。如有歧義，本市場將僅依據台灣政府公布的官方結果結算，具體而言是中央選舉委員會（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。