- SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?14¢
- SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?40¢
- SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?63¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), the Ilya Sutskever-led lab, has released no models, papers, demos, or APIs in over two years despite roughly $8 billion in funding and a strict “straight-shot” focus on aligned superintelligence. Trader sentiment centers on an unverified early-August rumor from investor Gavin Baker claiming an August 2026 launch, set against SSI’s consistent public silence and avoidance of incremental releases. The July 2026 NVIDIA partnership—granting an order-of-magnitude compute increase via Vera Rubin systems—signals internal progress worthy of scaling but does not confirm near-term public availability. With the August 31 resolution window closing imminently and historical precedent favoring longer timelines, markets price low odds for an immediate qualifying public model while watching for any official announcement or beta rollout that could shift consensus.