- 俄羅斯與烏克蘭和平組合投注3¢
Russia’s entrenched territorial demands and Ukraine’s battlefield resilience have locked this geopolitical matchup into a prolonged stalemate, with recent Ukrainian advances in the Donbas via Operation Vivaldi and persistent Russian energy strikes underscoring Moscow’s preference for leverage over compromise. Ongoing Abu Dhabi talks produced constructive exchanges but no breakthrough on core issues like Donetsk control or NATO neutrality, while U.S. mediation efforts face head-to-head friction between maximalist positions. Trader consensus at 97.1% No reflects this form, though an unexpected leadership shift, decisive reversal on the front lines, or sudden security guarantees could still force late adjustments before year-end resolution.
規則
若截至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 以下所有條件均已達成，本市場將以「是」結算： - 俄羅斯與烏克蘭停火 - 烏克蘭同意不加入 NATO - 烏克蘭與俄羅斯簽署和平協議 否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 本市場將保持開放，直到確認上述條件中至少有一項未達成，或直到上述所有條件均在指定期限內達成。 本市場的完整規則請見此處： https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
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