The November 29, 2026, Quito mayoral election features incumbent Pabel Muñoz seeking re-election amid over 680 legal and administrative actions, including recent Fiscalía raids on municipal offices tied to alleged peculado in public contracts and separate denuncias over purported kickbacks. National government officials have publicly criticized his administration's El Niño contingency planning, while opposition candidates including Harold Burbano, Wilson Merino, Jorge Yunda, and others compete in a field marked by high undecided voters exceeding 70 percent in recent surveys. These developments sustain a competitive dynamic in which no single contender has consolidated broad support, leaving trader probabilities closely aligned among the leading names and sensitive to any further shifts in legal outcomes, campaign momentum, or late voter consolidation before election day.
厄瓜多基多市 2026 年市長選舉目前預定於2026年11月29日舉行。 此市場將依據在這次選舉中勝出、成為基多下一任市長的候選人進行結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、代理或名義市長均不予考慮。 如果截至2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET仍未得知此次選舉的結果,本市場將結算為「其他」。 此市場的主要結算依據將是可信報導的共識;但若結果有任何模糊之處,此市場將依據厄瓜多政府的官方資訊結算,包括國家選舉委員會(Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec)和選舉爭議法庭(Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec)的資訊。
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