- Perplexity 在 IPO 當日收盤時的市值會低於 $200億 嗎？30¢30%
- IPO 當天收盤時，Perplexity 的市值會介於 $200億 和 $300億 之間嗎？3¢3%
- IPO 當天收盤時，Perplexity 的市值會介於 $300億 和 $400億 之間嗎？3¢3%
- IPO 當天收盤時，Perplexity 的市值會介於 $400億 和 $500億 之間嗎？3¢3%
- IPO 當天收盤時，Perplexity 的市值會介於 $500億 和 $750億 之間嗎？6¢6%
- IPO 當天收盤時，Perplexity 的市值會介於 $750億 和 $1000億 之間嗎？4¢4%
- IPO 當日收盤時，Perplexity 的市值會高於 $1000億 嗎？3¢3%
- Perplexity 到 2027年12月31日 前會不會仍未 IPO？46¢46%
CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly committed to a 2028 IPO as the earliest target, unchanged by recent AI listings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic. This stance, reaffirmed in June 2026 CNBC comments and October 2026 coverage, underpins the 66% market-implied probability of no IPO before then, as executives prioritize building sustainable revenue and operations over rushing to public markets. Perplexity’s last priced rounds valued the company at roughly $20–23 billion in late 2025 and early 2026, with secondary marks near $19–20 billion as of October 2026. Annualized revenue reached about $750 million by August 2026—up sharply from under $250 million earlier in the year—driven by the February 2026 Perplexity Computer agent launch and usage-based pricing. This supports moderate IPO valuation brackets but keeps higher ranges (50B+) at low single-digit odds given current multiples around 27x revenue and typical AI listing precedents. Ongoing Nvidia investment talks at a potential $30 billion-plus valuation remain unclosed and would still occur privately. Traders appear to view the explicit 2028 timeline, combined with measured growth and regulatory or market risks for AI firms, as the dominant factors shaping these probabilities.
規則
此市場將根據 Perplexity 首個交易日收盤價計算的市值進行結算。 若截至 2027年12月31日 下午11:59 ET Perplexity 尚未進行 IPO，此市場將結算為「2028 年前不會 IPO」。 市值表示一家公司已發行流通股的貨幣價值，以其定價貨幣表示。計算方式為已發行流通股數乘以首個交易日的收盤股價。 如果相關數值恰好落在兩個區間之間，本市場將以較高的區間結算。 結算將以主要交易所的官方上市頁面為依據。如果該頁面未顯示相關數值，將使用另一個可靠來源。 如果 Perplexity 首個交易日的正常交易時段期間發生中斷（例如觸發熔斷機制或僅交易半天），此市場將按照縮短交易時段的官方收盤價結算。如果沒有公布此類官方收盤價，本市場將依據下一個公布官方收盤價的交易日結算，並就本市場而言將該日視為首個交易日。
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