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Recent festival shortlists and precursor nominations are shaping early trader attention for the five Best Documentary Short Film nominees at the 99th Oscars. The Critics Choice Documentary Awards shortlist and DOC NYC’s influential Shorts selections, announced in mid-October 2026, highlighted titles such as “The Baddest Speechwriter of All” and others with strong festival pedigrees, providing the first concrete signals of momentum. Eligibility closed September 30, 2026, with final submissions due October 8; the Academy will reveal its 15-film shortlist on December 15 before nominations voting runs January 11–15, 2027. Documentary branch voters weigh theatrical or qualifying-festival runs alongside critical reception, and historical patterns show guild and critics’ nods often preview the eventual nominees. Traders are monitoring any late-2026 festival breakthroughs or additional precursor results that could shift consensus before the January announcement.
規則
美國電影藝術與科學學院（AMPAS）每年頒發奧斯卡金像獎，以表彰電影領域傑出的藝術與技術成就。第99屆奧斯卡金像獎將於2027年舉行，預定於1月21日公布提名，頒獎典禮則於2027年3月14日舉行。 如果所列影片獲得第 99 屆奧斯卡最佳紀錄短片獎提名，此市場將以「是」結算。如果某部影片在公布 2027 年提名時，未獲得奧斯卡最佳紀錄短片獎的正式提名，則相應市場將立即以「否」結算。 如果因任何原因，截至2027年3月14日、下午11:59 ET仍未公布任何提名，此市場將判定為「否」。 此市場的主要判定依據為奧斯卡金像獎及AMPAS的官方資訊，包括其網站上的資料（例如https://www.oscars.org/）以及頒獎典禮的現場直播；但也可參考可信媒體報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。