- OpenAI 會在 2027 年之前被收購嗎？3¢3%
OpenAI’s independent trajectory and record valuations drive the 97% market-implied odds against an acquisition before 2027. The company closed massive funding rounds at $852 billion in early 2026, with secondary markets implying over $1 trillion, while confidentially filing for an IPO and signaling a potential 2027 listing. Active acquihires of developer tools and cloud startups underscore its position as a buyer rather than a target, supported by strong investor backing from SoftBank and others. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden regulatory blocks on a hypothetical megadeal, an unexpected leadership shift, or a sharp valuation reset, though current momentum makes these low-probability events in the remaining timeframe.
規則
如果可信報導證實任何實體在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前達成收購 OpenAI（或控制 OpenAI 的非營利組織）的協議，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若合併後 OpenAI 被另一實體納入其中，將計入「是」結算。 OpenAI 與收購方公布的協議，無論收購最終是否完成，均符合「是」結算條件。 本市場結算的主要依據是 Sam Altman 和／或 OpenAI 的官方資訊；但也會採用可信報導形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。