- OpenAI 在 2026 年的估值會達到 $1T+ 嗎？83¢83%
OpenAI’s strong trader consensus at 84.4% for a $1T+ valuation by year-end stems primarily from ongoing talks for a $30B+ pre-IPO bridge round at roughly $1.4T pre-money, reported in late September and early October. This builds on the March 2026 $852B post-money round and secondary-market marks now exceeding $1T in some platforms. Revenue momentum supports the positioning, with annualized run rate near $50B in September and a $70B year-end target driven by enterprise growth and recent model releases. Heavy infrastructure spending and an IPO now slated for 2027 keep private capital flowing, though high losses and execution risks on new rounds could still influence final resolution.
規則
如果 OpenAI 在市場建立至 2026年12月31日、下午11:59 ET 之間，達到 $1 兆美元或以上的公開估值，或進行一輪使公司估值達到 $1 兆或以上的私人融資，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 要符合條件，該估值必須由 OpenAI 明確確認，或獲得可信報導壓倒性的共識。 判定依據將為 OpenAI 的官方公告；不過，也可採用可信報導的共識。
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