- Musk 會在 2027 年前卸任 Tesla 執行長嗎？2¢2%
Musk's entrenched position as Tesla CEO stems from his central role steering the company's shift toward AI-driven autonomy and robotics, including recent Cybercab robotaxi launches and Optimus humanoid robot development that traders view as core to long-term value. The market-implied odds of 98.5% for "No" reflect strong trader consensus backed by his recent $1 trillion compensation approval and active leadership in product reveals like the thruster-equipped Roadster. While this consensus appears durable given Musk's voting control and strategic overlap with related ventures, realistic shifts could arise from regulatory scrutiny of potential Tesla-SpaceX consolidation, board intervention amid sales pressures, or unforeseen personal factors that disrupt timelines for autonomous features.
規則
如果埃隆·馬斯克在 2025年11月11日 至 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 期間的任何時長內不再擔任 Tesla 執行長，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 若在本市場結束日期前宣布埃隆·馬斯克辭職或遭解僱，本市場將立即結算為「是」，無論宣布的辭職或解僱何時生效。 本市場的主要結算來源將是 Tesla 和／或埃隆·馬斯克的官方資訊，但也會參考可信報導所形成的共識。
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