- Mohammed bin Salman 會在 2026年12月31日 前不再是沙烏地阿拉伯的實際領導人嗎？6¢
Recent Houthi missile strikes on Riyadh’s airport on October 10 have intensified scrutiny of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s Yemen policy and exposed gaps in Saudi air defenses, prompting questions about his leadership amid ongoing economic strains on Vision 2030 projects. King Salman’s recent health issues, including a lung infection, have prompted official reassurances from the crown prince, who continues to chair cabinet sessions and advance reforms. Analysts note MBS’s centralized control, sidelining of rivals since 2017, and lack of organized internal opposition make abrupt removal unlikely, though diplomatic and fiscal pressures could influence royal family dynamics or succession timing. Scheduled events such as the postponed Future Investment Initiative and any shifts in U.S. or regional alliances remain potential catalysts within the resolution window.
規則
如果沙烏地阿拉伯王儲 Mohammed bin Salman 在市場建立至指定日期（ET）期間的任何時候不再擔任沙烏地阿拉伯領導人，此市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 如果在此市場的截止日期之前宣布 Mohammed bin Salman 辭職或被免職，此市場將立即結算為「是」，無論宣布的辭職或免職何時生效。 如果指定人士遭到拘留、實際上被撤離指定職位，或在本市場的時間範圍內以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定職位的職責，則符合結算為「是」的條件。 此市場的結算依據將是 Mohammed bin Salman 和沙烏地阿拉伯政府的官方資訊；不過，也可以採用可信報導的一致結論。
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