- Discord會成為2026年最高市值的IPO嗎？<1¢
- 字節跳動會在2026年擁有最高的IPO市值嗎？<1¢
- Stripe 會在 2026 年擁有最高的上市市值嗎？<1¢
- SpaceX在2026年將擁有最高的首次公開募股市值嗎？65¢
- OpenAI 會在 2026 年擁有最高的上市市值嗎？<1¢
- Kraken會有2026年最高的首次公開募股市值嗎？<1¢
- Anthropic會在2026年擁有最高的IPO市值嗎？36¢
- SHEIN會在2026年有最高的首次公開募股市值嗎？<1¢
- Waymo在2026年會有最高的IPO市值嗎？<1¢
- Revolut 會在 2026 年擁有最高的首次公開發行（IPO）市值嗎？<1¢
- Perplexity AI會成為2026年上市市值最高的公司嗎？<1¢
- Databricks會在2026年擁有最高的首次公開募股市值嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
SpaceX commands the highest implied probability at 64.5% in this market due to its completed June 2026 IPO at approximately $1.77 trillion, the largest in history by proceeds and valuation, driven by Starlink revenue momentum, AI infrastructure investments, and post-merger integration of xAI that expanded its enterprise value ahead of listing. Anthropic follows at 36% on the back of its May 2026 $965 billion post-money private round, rapid ARR growth toward $140 billion, and confidential S-1 filing targeting an October window that could approach or exceed $1 trillion, though it trails SpaceX in realized scale. xAI at 25.5% reflects its February merger into SpaceX, folding its assets into the already-public entity and limiting standalone IPO potential, while sub-1% odds for OpenAI, ByteDance, Stripe, and others stem from smaller private valuations, delayed or uncertain timelines, and lower expected debut market caps relative to these benchmarks. Trader consensus prices in these recent execution and funding milestones as the dominant swing factors ahead of any remaining 2026 listings.