- 印度2026年的年度通脹率會介於1.50%至2.24%之間嗎？<1¢
- 印度2026年的年通脹率會在3.75%到4.49%之間嗎？7¢
- 印度2026年的年度通脹率會至少達到4.50%嗎？90¢
- 2026年印度的年通脹率會低於0.75%嗎？2¢
- 印度2026年的年度通脹率會在2.25%至2.99%之間嗎？<1¢
- 印度2026年的年度通脹率會在0.75%到1.49%之間嗎？<1¢
- 印度2026年的年度通貨膨脹率會介於3.00%至3.74%之間嗎？<1¢
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Recent July CPI data at 4.45%—above the RBI’s 4% target for a second straight month—reflects persistent food inflation at 5.52% and transport pressures from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and rupee weakness. The Reserve Bank’s August projection of 5.0% average CPI inflation for fiscal 2026-27, peaking near 5.9% in Q3 before moderating, underpins the 89.5% market-implied probability for outcomes at or above 4.50%. Contained core inflation near 3.9% and a neutral policy stance at 5.25% limit broader pass-through risks for now, though upcoming August CPI and monsoon impacts remain key near-term catalysts for trader sentiment.