2026年,有多少艘SpaceX星艦發射到太空?
SpaceX科學Elon Musk太空氣候與科學
開始時間
2025-12-12
結束時間
2027-01-01
24小時成交量
$2K
總成交量
$523K
  • 2026年會有少於5次SpaceX Starship發射成功抵達太空嗎?50¢
  • 2026年會有5-6次SpaceX星艦發射成功進入太空嗎?48¢
  • 2026年會有7-8次SpaceX星艦成功進入太空嗎?1¢
  • 2026年,將有9至10次SpaceX星艦發射成功進入太空嗎?<1¢
  • 2026年有11-12次SpaceX星艦發射會成功抵達太空嗎?<1¢
  • 2026年會有13-14次SpaceX星艦發射成功進入太空嗎?<1¢
  • 2026年將有15-16次SpaceX星艦發射成功進入太空嗎?<1¢
  • 2026年將有超過16次SpaceX星艦發射成功進入太空嗎?<1¢

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2026年,有多少艘SpaceX星艦發射到太空?