- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫會是27°C嗎？5¢
- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫會是28°C嗎？49¢
- 9月9日上海最高氣溫會是29°C嗎？39¢
- 9月9日，上海的最高氣溫會達到30°C嗎？4¢
- 9月9日上海最高氣溫會是31°C嗎？<1¢
- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫會是32°C嗎？<1¢
- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫會是33°C嗎？<1¢
- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫是否會達到34°C或以上？<1¢
- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫會是26°C嗎？<1¢
- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫會在24°C或以下嗎？<1¢
- 9月9日上海的最高氣溫會達到25°C嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models position a daily high of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome for Shanghai on September 9, driving the combined 89% market-implied probability. Northerly winds and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime heating as the region transitions from late-summer conditions, with official guidance showing highs near 28°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of trader expectations. Short-term model updates and any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud fields remain the key variables that could nudge the final recorded maximum before resolution.