- 9月7日莫斯科的最高氣溫會是6°C或以下嗎？<1¢
- 9月7日莫斯科的最高氣溫會是7°C嗎？<1¢
- 9月7日莫斯科的最高氣溫會是8°C嗎？<1¢
- 9月7日莫斯科的最高氣溫會是9°C嗎？<1¢
- 莫斯科9月7日的最高氣溫會是10°C嗎？<1¢
- 莫斯科9月7日的最高氣溫會是11°C嗎？4¢
- 9月7日莫斯科的最高氣溫會是12°C嗎？15¢
- 莫斯科在9月7日的最高氣溫會是13°C嗎？47¢
- 9月7日莫斯科的最高氣溫會是14°C嗎？28¢
- 莫斯科在9月7日的最高氣溫會是15°C嗎？4¢
- 9月7日莫斯科的最高氣溫會達到16°C或以上嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions northwest flow and persistent cloud cover as the dominant drivers keeping Moscow’s September 7 maximum near 13°C, with ensemble spreads favoring 12–14°C. Official Russian forecasts cite a daytime range of 11–16°C under moderate northwest winds, cooler than the 18°C climatological average due to a recent cold advection event. Light precipitation chances and limited insolation further cap warming potential. Traders have weighted the 13°C outcome highest as latest 00Z–12Z updates show little upward revision, though a final model shift before resolution could still nudge probabilities toward 14°C or 12°C.