- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 3?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 3?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 3?48¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 3?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 3?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 31–33°C in Milan on September 3 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly to westerly winds that limit mixing and allow strong daytime heating. Recent runs show surface temperatures peaking near 32°C in the afternoon with dew points in the low teens Celsius and minimal cloud cover, consistent with a late-summer warm spell exceeding the early-September climatological average of roughly 25–26°C. Trader positioning, with 31°C and 32°C holding the bulk of implied probability, reflects this narrow range and limited downside risk from any late model shifts or local urban-heat effects. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings once the day concludes.