- 馬尼拉在9月7日的最高氣溫會是23°C或以下嗎？<1¢
- 9月7日馬尼拉的最高氣溫會是24°C嗎？<1¢
- 馬尼拉在9月7日的最高氣溫會是25°C嗎？<1¢
- 馬尼拉9月7日的最高氣溫會是26°C嗎？1¢
- 9月7日馬尼拉的最高氣溫會是27°C嗎？4¢
- 馬尼拉9月7日的最高氣溫會是28°C嗎？9¢
- 9月7日馬尼拉的最高氣溫會是29°C嗎？28¢
- 馬尼拉在9月7日的最高氣溫會是30°C嗎？40¢
- 9月7日馬尼拉的最高氣溫會是31°C嗎？17¢
- 馬尼拉在9月7日的最高氣溫會是32°C嗎？4¢
- 馬尼拉在9月7日的最高氣溫會達到33°C或以上嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the main factor capping peak temperatures in Metro Manila for September 7. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probability, which reduce solar heating and keep daily highs near or below seasonal norms. Current model consensus points to maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 40.5 % for 30 °C and 28.5 % for 29 °C. Recent observations show similar suppressed maxima under comparable monsoon conditions, while the low odds for 31 °C or higher reflect the limited potential for clearing skies or stronger insolation in the near term.