- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 2?67¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 2?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 2?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on September 2?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and high humidity are suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow on September 2, 2026, positioning 29–30°C as the clear market leaders. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple meteorological services consistently project a maximum of 30°C (with some models at 28–29°C) amid thunderstorms and overcast skies, well below the long-term September average high near 33–34°C. Heavy preceding rains have maintained elevated soil moisture and atmospheric moisture, limiting solar insolation and convective warming. The market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders' assessment of real-time observational data and model runs showing limited potential for brief clearing that could push temperatures to 31°C or above. Ongoing active monsoon conditions through early September continue to anchor expectations in this narrow range.