- 香港在10月14日的最高氣溫會否達到26°C或以下？<1¢
- 香港10月14日的最高氣溫會是27°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日香港的最高氣溫會是28°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日香港最高氣溫會達到29°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日香港最高氣溫會達到30°C嗎？>99¢
- 10月14日香港的最高氣溫會是31°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日香港最高氣溫會達到32°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日香港的最高氣溫會達到33°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日，香港的最高氣溫會達到34°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日香港的最高氣溫會是35°C嗎？<1¢
- 10月14日香港的最高氣溫會達到36°C或以上嗎？<1¢
Official Hong Kong Observatory readings show a daily maximum of exactly 30.0°C on October 14, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that level. Forecasts from the Observatory and other models had projected a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with an easterly flow, but actual conditions—including persistent cloud cover and moderate winds—kept temperatures from exceeding the 30°C threshold at the primary reference station. Regional stations recorded peaks between 29–33°C, yet the market resolution hinges on the official Observatory value. A late-day spike above 30°C or a revision in the final daily summary could still shift the outcome, though current data make that unlikely.
規則
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.