- 開普敦在9月3日的最高氣溫會是10°C或以下嗎？<1¢
- 開普敦在9月3日的最高氣溫會是11°C嗎？<1¢
- 開普敦9月3日的最高氣溫會是12°C嗎？<1¢
- 開普敦9月3日的最高氣溫會是13°C嗎？2¢
- 開普敦在9月3日的最高氣溫會是14°C嗎？4¢
- 開普敦9月3日的最高氣溫會是15°C嗎？8¢
- 開普敦在9月3日的最高氣溫會是16°C嗎？22¢
- 開普敦在9月3日的最高氣溫會是17°C嗎？42¢
- 開普敦9月3日的最高氣溫會是18°C嗎？20¢
- 開普敦在9月3日的最高氣溫會是19°C嗎？4¢
- 開普敦在9月3日的最高氣溫會達到20°C或以上嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, point to a September 3 high near 16–18°C in Cape Town amid strengthening southeasterly winds, increased cloud cover, and a 50–80% chance of showers that could limit daytime warming. This follows mild conditions on September 2 with highs around 17–18°C under overcast skies. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context, yet the approaching weather pattern introduces downward pressure relative to climatology. Model spreads and timing of any rain explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 17°C, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives, while outcomes outside 15–19°C remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts.