- Gianni Infantino 到12月31日時會不再擔任 FIFA 主席嗎？5¢5%
Gianni Infantino retains firm control of FIFA’s leadership heading into the March 2027 presidential election, with endorsements from the AFC, CAF, and CONMEBOL delivering overwhelming backing among the 211 member associations. Recent travel to secure regional support has offset criticism from UEFA over the abandoned FIFA Forward Enterprise proposal, leaving no viable challenger ahead of the November 18 nomination deadline and making an unopposed fourth term the consensus outcome. Trader pricing at 95.5% for “No” by December 31 reflects this timeline and political reality, though an unforeseen governance crisis or health-related withdrawal before year-end remains a remote possibility that could still shift the implied probability.
規則
如果 Gianni Infantino 在市場建立至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 期間的任何時間不再擔任 FIFA 主席，該市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 若在該市場結束日期之前宣布 Infantino 辭職或遭解職，該市場將立即判定為「是」，無論所宣布的辭職或解職何時生效。宣布有意辭職將符合判定條件，無論辭職是否生效或何時生效。 停職、行政休假或其他臨時措施均不符合判定條件。 該市場判定的主要依據將是 FIFA 或 Gianni Infantino 的官方資訊；不過，也會參考可信報導的廣泛共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。