- Flávio Bolsonaro 會在 2026年11月30日 前返回巴西嗎？3¢3%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 會在 2026年12月31日 前返回巴西嗎？10¢10%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 會在 2027年3月31日 前返回巴西嗎？14¢14%
Flávio Bolsonaro departed Brazil for the United States on October 28, 2026, hours after a Supreme Federal Court order required him to surrender his passports and remain in the country amid ongoing money-laundering and corruption investigations tied to online gambling and foreign transfers. The move followed his narrow presidential runoff loss to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and defied the directive from Justice Alexandre de Moraes, prompting federal police to cancel his travel documents. He traveled via Argentina and Ecuador with family members before landing in Miami, where the Trump administration confirmed it would issue entry visas. Allies indicated consideration of political asylum, while Brazilian authorities have no record of his exit and Lula's party has sought an arrest warrant and Interpol notice. His Senate term ends in February 2027, after which he would lose special jurisdiction protections. These legal, electoral, and diplomatic developments shape trader assessments of any near-term return.
規則
如果 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市場建立至指定日期 下午11:59 ET 之間返回巴西，此市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 「返回」的定義是 Flávio Bolsonaro 親自進入巴西的陸地領土。在此市場期間，Bolsonaro 是否進入巴西領空或海域，不會影響市場是否以肯定結果結算。 如果確認 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市場建立時身處巴西的陸地領土，此市場將結算為「是」。 此市場結算的主要依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。