- Flávio Bolsonaro 會在 2026年11月30日 前返回巴西嗎？10¢10%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 會在 2026年12月31日 前返回巴西嗎？16¢16%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 會在 2027年3月31日 前返回巴西嗎？27¢27%
Flávio Bolsonaro, the defeated Liberal Party presidential candidate, faces a Supreme Court travel ban and passport surrender order issued October 26 by Justice Alexandre de Moraes as part of a money-laundering and corruption investigation tied to online betting and a film project. Multiple sources report he left Brazil for the United States on October 27 despite the deadline, joining family members already abroad, including brother Eduardo, amid speculation of an asylum request. His father, former president Jair Bolsonaro, remains under house arrest. Brazilian authorities have canceled his passports and are monitoring borders, while the U.S. side has provided limited confirmation of his movements. Resolution of the market hinges on any confirmed return date, potential diplomatic or legal developments in the U.S.-Brazil relationship, and outcomes of the ongoing probes.
規則
如果 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市場建立至指定日期 下午11:59 ET 之間返回巴西，此市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 「返回」的定義是 Flávio Bolsonaro 親自進入巴西的陸地領土。在此市場期間，Bolsonaro 是否進入巴西領空或海域，不會影響市場是否以肯定結果結算。 如果確認 Flávio Bolsonaro 在市場建立時身處巴西的陸地領土，此市場將結算為「是」。 此市場結算的主要依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。