- Fetterman 會在期中選舉前離開民主黨嗎？<1¢<1%
- Fetterman 會在 2026年12月31日 前退出民主黨嗎？12¢12%
Senator John Fetterman’s growing distance from Pennsylvania Democrats stems from his consistent support for Israel, criticism of progressive factions, and willingness to work across the aisle with Republicans, including a joint fundraising effort and a September 2026 video appearance at a GOP midterm convention. State and local Democrats have expressed frustration, with polls showing his favorability among registered Democrats dropping sharply while rising among Republicans. Fetterman has repeatedly stated he has no plans to leave the party and no reason to switch, though he has identified an official Democratic shift against Israel as a potential red line. His seat faces a 2028 primary, and the November 2026 midterms could determine whether he becomes a pivotal vote in a narrowly divided Senate.
規則
如果 John Fetterman 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前正式宣布將離開民主黨，或正式離開民主黨，此市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 Fetterman 宣布將加入共和黨、成為無黨籍人士、加入其他政黨，或以其他方式不再是民主黨成員，均符合條件。可信報導普遍認定 Fetterman 已正式退出民主黨，也足以作為判定依據。 批評民主黨、與共和黨人同票、背書共和黨候選人、稱自己不分黨派或思想獨立，或表達對民主黨立場的不同意見，均不符合條件；除非同時有正式聲明宣布退出民主黨，或可信報導普遍認定他已正式退出民主黨。 本市場判定的主要來源為 John Fetterman 的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導普遍認定的資訊。
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