- 歐元區2026年的年通脹率會在1.0%到1.2%之間嗎？3¢
- 歐元區2026年的年通脹率會在1.6%到1.8%之間嗎？2¢
- 歐元區2026年的年度通脹率會在2.2%至2.4%之間嗎？4¢
- 到2026年歐元區的年度通脹率是否至少為3.1％？66¢
- 到2026年歐元區的年度通脹率會低於1.0%嗎？<1¢
- 歐元區2026年的年度通脹率會在1.3%至1.5%之間嗎？<1¢
- 歐元區2026年年通脹率會在1.9%到2.1%之間嗎？1¢
- 歐元區2026年的年通脹率會在2.5%到2.7%之間嗎？5¢
- 歐元區2026年的年度通脹率會介於2.8%至3.0%之間嗎？20¢
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Recent July 2026 Euro area HICP data rose to 2.9% year-over-year from 2.8% in June, propelled by energy inflation climbing toward 10% amid renewed geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions in the Middle East. This trajectory has driven ECB June staff projections to lift the 2026 annual average forecast to 3.0%, with private estimates clustering near 2.8%. Market-implied odds assign a 66.3% probability to a 3.1%+ outcome for the full-year figure, reflecting trader consensus on persistent energy effects and modest second-round pass-through into core measures, which stood at 2.5%. Key upcoming catalysts include the August flash release and September ECB policy decisions, which could refine expectations amid commodity volatility.