Apple’s Vision Pro successor remains in early exploratory stages under codenames like N224, with Bloomberg reporting that any redesigned model addressing weight, bulk, and cost is unlikely before late 2028 or early 2029. Apple refreshed the original headset with an M5 chip in 2025 but has since shifted mixed-reality resources toward smart glasses targeted for late 2027, leaving the headset category effectively on ice. This timeline, backed by consistent analyst consensus on development pauses and reassignments, underpins the market’s 97.7% “No” odds for a pre-2027 release. While an unforeseen acceleration in component integration or competitive pressure could theoretically compress schedules, the current engineering and strategic priorities make such shifts improbable within the next few months.
如果 Apple 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前推出新的 Vision Pro 產品,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 符合資格的產品必須命名為「Apple Vision」,並被認定為原版 Apple Vision Pro 產品的後繼產品,類似於 iPhone 14 與 iPhone 15 之間的關係。若推出的新款 Apple Vision 產品未帶有編號,且名稱並非 Apple Vision Pro 2,只要保留 Apple Vision Pro 的原有功能,並以明確顯示該產品為後繼產品的方式加以擴充,即符合資格。 以升級或更新形式推出的產品(例如 2025 年推出搭載 M5 晶片的 Apple Vision Pro)不符合原版 Apple Vision Pro 產品後繼產品的資格。 若要視為已推出,該產品必須在指定時限內開放一般大眾購買。單純公告或揭幕並不足夠。 此市場判定的主要依據為 Apple 的官方聲明。但也可採用可信報導的共識。
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