- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?<1¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?3¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?87¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?<1¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?<1¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?10¢
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?<1¢
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rapid revenue growth and investor expectations for a blockbuster October 2026 IPO are driving the 81.5% market-implied probability of a $1.8 trillion-plus closing market cap. Anthropic’s annualized run rate surged past $47 billion by May 2026 after its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, with projections reaching $100–120 billion by year-end and $190–200 billion in 2028 based on Claude large language model adoption. Confidential SEC filing in June, underwritten by Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, plus benchmarks like SpaceX, reinforce trader consensus around a potential $2 trillion debut. Secondary trading near $1.2 trillion and minimal odds of delays or lower brackets reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of sustained AI demand.