- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?4¢
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?2¢
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?7¢
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?4¢
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?2¢
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?14¢
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?50¢
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?9¢
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?4¢
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?4¢
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?63¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Gold prices, recently rallying above $4,600 per ounce amid softer July US jobs and CPI data plus Treasury long-bond buybacks that pressured the dollar, face key influences through December 2026 from the Federal Reserve's policy path, persistent central bank purchases averaging near 60 tonnes monthly, and inflation trends. Analyst year-end targets cluster between $4,500 and $6,000, reflecting structural demand from emerging-market reserves alongside uncertainty over whether the Fed holds or adjusts rates amid fiscal concerns and geopolitical risks. Upcoming catalysts include the July PCE release, Jackson Hole communications, and September FOMC deliberations, which will shape implied probabilities around monetary easing versus tighter conditions.