- Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 60 million views on day 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?78¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 1?14¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 48 million views on day 1?7¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 52 million views on day 1?6¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 56 million views on day 1?2¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers only to the video "We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE).
MrBeast’s latest long-form release, “We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth,” dropped September 5 with a Gemini AI partnership and extreme-location race concept that blends survival stunts and branded integration. Traders have priced the sub-40 million day-one bracket at 78.5% implied probability because recent comparable uploads, including “Last To Leave Mansion” and “Escape 100 Cops,” posted first-24-hour totals clustering in the mid-to-high 20 millions before tapering, reflecting a broader 2026 pattern of moderating per-video velocity on the 516-million-subscriber channel. The current video’s more narrative-driven structure lacks the massive giveaway hooks or celebrity cameos that historically fueled faster early spikes, while consistent algorithmic strength and weekend timing provide a solid floor but limited upside. With the 24-hour window now active and no major promotional catalysts announced, market-implied odds favor staying below the higher strike thresholds.