- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on or prior to October 23, 2026?27¢27%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 24, 2026?20¢20%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 25, 2026?10¢10%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 26, 2026?12¢12%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 27, 2026?27¢27%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 28, 2026?12¢12%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 29, 2026?28¢28%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 30, 2026?14¢14%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 31, 2026?6¢6%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 1, 2026?9¢9%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 2, 2026?13¢13%
- Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 3, 2026?11¢11%
High uncertainty around OpenAI's next large language model release drives the closely matched trader sentiment, with no single date exceeding 28% implied probability. Development timelines for advanced GPT versions frequently shift due to extended safety testing, benchmark evaluations, and competitive pressures from labs like Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Recent internal progress reports and capability demonstrations have not clarified an exact window, leaving traders pricing in risks of delays from regulatory reviews or scaling challenges. Upcoming developer conferences and potential announcements could shift odds, but historical patterns show releases often miss initial targets amid rapid AI advancements.
Quy tắc
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.