- Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?100¢100%
- Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
- Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?0¢0%
The election on 20 September 2026 delivered SPD 35.5 percent of the second votes and exactly 29 of 71 seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag, placing the party squarely inside the 26-29 range. Preliminary official tallies released within 24 hours showed AfD at 38.2 percent (32 seats), Die Linke and the Greens each at five seats, and CDU plus BSW both failing the five-percent threshold. High turnout of 78.1 percent and a late SPD surge in direct-mandate districts locked in the seat total with minimal variance risk. Final certification by the Landeswahlausschuss is scheduled no later than 30 September, after which the market resolves; only an unforeseen recount altering multiple constituencies by several thousand votes could shift the outcome outside the dominant bracket. Trader consensus therefore reflects the verified arithmetic rather than polling projections.
Quy tắc
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).