- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 5?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 5?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 5?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 5?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 5?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and GFS models indicate persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly winds will limit daytime heating in Moscow on September 5, keeping the daily maximum near 16–18 °C. Thick overcast reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation and moderate wind speeds further suppress peak temperatures. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September, where cloudy, wet days typically yield highs several degrees below clear-sky maxima. Model consensus favors 17–18 °C, though slight variations in rainfall timing or wind strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the most probable outcomes within this narrow range.