- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 5?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on September 5?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 5?93¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consistent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high of 31–35°C for Jinan on September 5, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting strong model consensus on continued warm, stable conditions typical for early September in Shandong before a cooler air mass arrives mid-week. Official outlooks show minimal cloud cover and dry air supporting maximum heating during peak afternoon hours. The primary catalyst is this clear forecast agreement across agencies, reinforced by recent observations of similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic shift could occur only from a faster-than-expected frontal passage or unexpected widespread cloud development, though current guidance assigns very low odds to such changes before resolution.