- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C or below on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?>99¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on October 14?<1¢
Official forecasts from agencies tracking Chongqing's conditions on October 14, 2026, show a maximum temperature of 23°C amid light rain, high humidity near 80-90%, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical mid-autumn patterns and model consensus from sources like GFS. This positions the 23°C outcome at near-certainty in the market, reflecting trader assessment of verified observational data over broader seasonal baselines around 22-25°C. Scenarios that could shift odds include revised station readings exceeding the threshold or localized warming from unexpected clear skies, though current pressure and precipitation trends make such changes improbable before resolution.
Quy tắc
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.