- Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?50¢
- Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?51¢
- Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?1¢
- Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?<1¢
- Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?<1¢
- Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?<1¢
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mixed critical reception and a Labor Day weekend release are anchoring trader expectations for Onslaught’s domestic opening at modest levels. The A24 action-horror film from Adam Wingard, which opened September 4 with a reported $15 million budget and stars Adria Arjona, has drawn average reviews (54% on Rotten Tomatoes, 60 on Metacritic), tempering pre-release tracking despite the director’s genre pedigree and the picture’s gory, grindhouse-style appeal. Holiday weekends historically deliver softer attendance, and the absence of major studio competition leaves room for word-of-mouth variance that could push results either side of the $2 million threshold. With implied probabilities nearly even between sub-$2 million and $2–3 million outcomes, the market reflects uncertainty over how quickly the film’s limited marketing and niche audience will convert in a slow frame, while higher brackets remain remote without stronger reviews or unexpected buzz. Final numbers will clarify the picture once Monday estimates arrive.