- Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?2¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?11¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?84¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1¢
- Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady cadence of 20-39 posts per week in recent comparable periods, driven by routine municipal updates on public safety, transportation, education policy, and seasonal preparations. Traders assign the 83.5% probability to this range for September 8-15 because no major crises, budget deadlines, or high-profile events are scheduled that would trigger elevated volume, while the early-September window aligns with standard operational communications. The 10% odds on 40-59 and single-digit shares on outliers reflect limited expectation of spikes from 9/11-related activity or other catalysts, consistent with historical patterns on the account since the administration transition.