- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 8?7¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 8?28¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 8?44¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 8?15¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 8?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models point to an overnight low near 19–21°C for Incheon on September 8 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Clear conditions favor strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 28–30°C, yet residual warmth from the preceding warm spell and modest wind speeds limit further drops. Historical early-September lows average 18–20°C, providing context for the tight clustering around 19–20°C in trader pricing. Minor model differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or wind would favor the higher end. Updated model guidance and official observations overnight will drive final resolution.