- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 3?100¢100%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on September 3?0¢0%
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 3?0¢0%
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park and regional airports recorded minimum temperatures of 67–69°F on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 68–69°F outcome at 99.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, fog, and elevated humidity—remnants of prior showers—limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows near or slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 65–66°F. Multiple stations reported consistent readings in this narrow band, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cold-air advection. While forecast models had suggested similar values days earlier, the final data release confirmed the range with little deviation. An unexpected clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could have allowed greater cooling toward 64–65°F, but such conditions did not materialize.
Правила
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.