- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C or below on September 5?29¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on September 5?72¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on September 5?29¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on September 5?29¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and real-time observations position a 21°C overnight low as the most probable outcome for Chengdu on September 5, 2026. Clear to mostly clear skies under continued subtropical high influence have supported gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C, with minimum temperatures expected to settle in the 22–24°C range according to multiple sources. Trader consensus at 69% for 21°C and 31.5% for 20°C reflects slight downward revisions in some model runs amid stable humidity around 50–70% and light southerly winds. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and any late-evening observational adjustments from local stations will be the key near-term catalysts, as September climatology in the Sichuan basin typically features lows of 20–23°C during early-month high-pressure dominance before the next rain system arrives later in the week.