- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 4?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 4?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 4?70¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 4?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 4?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the National Weather Service equivalents and regional agencies, converge on a daytime high of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv for September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions. This positions 32°C as the market favorite at 70% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C capturing residual model spread and minor variability from urban heat island effects or exact measurement timing at official stations. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns show no cooling advection or excessive heating expected, keeping odds tightly clustered while acknowledging standard forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1°C.