- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 3?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 3?70¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 3?23¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers, including outputs aligned with 30–33°C highs, position 32°C as the leading outcome at 70% implied probability for Tel Aviv on September 3. Persistent subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies, while light westerly winds and Mediterranean sea-breeze effects moderate daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 29–31°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or anomalous warming signals, though slight upward revisions in some runs support the secondary 33°C probability. Traders' capital-weighted odds aggregate this short-range forecast stability ahead of final observational resolution.