- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 8?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 8?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 8?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 8?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses project a daytime high near 32°C in Milan on September 8, 2026, under initially clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and modest humidity, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent observations show September 7 reaching 33°C amid a persistent warm spell above seasonal norms for the Po Valley, while ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 33–34°C if afternoon mixing strengthens before any evening instability develops. A shift toward scattered showers or thunderstorms after peak heating could cap the maximum, aligning with lower-probability 31°C pricing and explaining the tight clustering around these two values ahead of final observational data from Milan’s official stations.