- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 4?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 4?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 4?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on September 4?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on September 4?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 98°F or higher on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 92°F for Denver on September 4 under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, supporting the market's leading 92-93°F bin at 55.5% implied probability. Consensus model guidance and recent observations indicate dry conditions and modest southerly flow that favor peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s, consistent with the 24% odds on 94-95°F and limited support below 90°F. Clear skies overnight into Friday allow strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima, though minor model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak readings. Historical September baselines near 80°F underscore the current warmer pattern, with traders weighting official guidance heavily as resolution nears.