- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 7?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 7?62¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 7?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 7?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cooling trend in Ankara, with maximum temperatures for September 7, 2026, most commonly projected between 24–27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the weekend (highs near 30–32°C on September 5–6) as high pressure and cooler air advection moderate daytime heating. Historical September averages for the city hover around 26–27°C, providing climatological context for the current outlook. Model runs show tight clustering around 25°C as the most probable peak, with low precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. Traders appear to weight the consensus from official agencies and ensemble guidance, which emphasizes this narrow range over outlier warmer or cooler scenarios. Updated model runs or official briefings from Turkey’s meteorological service could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.