- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?14¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?38¢
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?33¢
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?10¢
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders see the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the most likely outcomes for Elon Musk’s tweets over the August 27-29 window because recent three-day stretches have produced totals in the low-to-mid 30s daily average, with quieter periods pulling counts below his longer-term weekday pace of roughly 30-35 posts. Weekend timing in the period adds further downward pressure, as historical weekend daily figures hover closer to 26. With no major product launches, regulatory hearings, or X-related announcements confirmed for those dates, the market reflects steady but unspectacular activity levels rather than a burst. Key swing factors remain any sudden engagement spikes on ongoing topics like Grok updates or SpaceX milestones that could push volume higher before the window closes.