- Rusya 31 Aralık'a kadar Chasiv Yar'ın tamamını ele geçirecek mi?65¢%65
Russian forces continue incremental advances in the Chasiv Yar sector of Donetsk Oblast amid prolonged attritional fighting that began in April 2024, with open-source mapping indicating control of most territory east of the canal but contested western edges as of late 2026. Ukrainian units, including the 24th Mechanized Brigade, report ongoing Russian attempts to mass infantry and resupply via light vehicles while conducting counterstrikes that destroyed an enemy UAV control post near the town on November 5. The settlement’s elevated terrain and proximity to remaining Ukrainian-held cities such as Kramatorsk and Sloviansk keep it strategically relevant for any broader Donbas offensive. Recent drone imagery confirms extensive destruction, consistent with high-intensity shelling and small-unit actions that have slowed full consolidation. Trader assessments of full Russian control by year-end hinge on whether incremental gains overcome Ukrainian defensive rotations and logistics strikes in the coming weeks.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Chasiv Yar will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map. If all area within the municipality is shaded under a qualifying layer, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of unshaded area along the border of the municipality, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.