- CMI, Riemann Hipotezi'nin 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar çözüldüğünü ilan edecek mi?2¢%2
- CMI, Riemann Hipotezi'nin 31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar çözüldüğünü ilan edecek mi?10¢%10
- %1,931 Aralık 2026$12 B hacim
- %1%1031 Aralık 2027$39,5 B hacim
Recent AI-assisted advances on weaker variants like the quasi-Riemann hypothesis have generated buzz in mathematical circles, yet trader consensus prices a CMI declaration by late 2027 at just 11 percent because full resolution of the core conjecture remains elusive. OpenAI and Anthropic papers from fall 2026 improved bounds on zeta-function zeros and earned praise from experts such as James Maynard, but these stop short of proving all nontrivial zeros lie on the critical line. CMI maintains the problem as unsolved, and its prize rules demand refereed publication plus at least two years of community acceptance before any official statement or Millennium Prize award. With no qualifying proof on the horizon and historical precedent showing lengthy verification timelines, the market reflects entrenched skepticism that a breakthrough will clear those hurdles in time. Upcoming peer-review cycles and potential refinements could shift momentum, though the high bar for official recognition keeps near-term odds suppressed.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Riemann Hypothesis, or otherwise officially declares the Riemann Hypothesis solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that the Riemann Hypothesis has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Riemann Hypothesis has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.