Trump 30 Kasım'a kadar kimi alenen aşağılayacak?
SiyasetTrumpKültürTrump - Netanyahu
Başlangıç tarihi
2026-11-02
Bitiş tarihi
2026-12-01
24 sa hacim
$3K
Toplam hacim
$16K
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Barack Obama'ya kamuya açık bir şekilde hakaret edecek mi?91¢%91
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Letitia James'e kamuya açık şekilde hakaret edecek mi?76¢%76
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Elizabeth Warren'a kamuya açık bir şekilde hakaret edecek mi?69¢%69
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Ilhan Omar'a kamuoyunda hakaret edecek mi?67¢%67
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Hillary Clinton'a kamuoyu önünde hakaret edecek mi?60¢%60
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Kaitlan Collins'e kamuoyunda hakaret edecek mi?59¢%59
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Tucker Carlson'a kamuoyu önünde hakaret edecek mi?46¢%46
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar kamuya açık bir şekilde Marjorie Taylor Greene'e hakaret edecek mi?41¢%41
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Hasan Piker'a kamuya açık bir şekilde hakaret edecek mi?32¢%32
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Benjamin Netanyahu'ya kamuoyunda hakaret edecek mi?17¢%17
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Elon Musk'ı kamuoyuna açık şekilde aşağılayacak mı?11¢%11
  • Donald Trump, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar Vladimir Putin'e kamuoyunda hakaret edecek mi?4¢%4

Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism toward political figures and journalists continues to shape trader views on this market, with Barack Obama holding the highest implied probability amid a long record of exchanges. Recent developments include pointed remarks aimed at reporters in late October and repeated references to Democratic opponents during midterm campaigning through early November. Kaitlan Collins and Ilhan Omar also register elevated probabilities, reflecting documented past clashes and the president’s tendency to single out critics in statements or social media. With roughly three weeks remaining until the November 30 resolution date, scheduled press events, rallies, or policy announcements could generate additional commentary. The market reflects trader assessments of these recurring dynamics rather than any single confirmed plan.

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump 30 Kasım'a kadar kimi alenen aşağılayacak?

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