- John Brennan 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?11¢%11
- James Comey 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?8¢%8
- Mahmoud Khalil 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?8¢%8
- James Clapper 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?7¢%7
- Candace Owens 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?6¢%6
- Susan Rice 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?6¢%6
- Letitia James 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?4¢%4
- Pam Bondi 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?4¢%4
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?4¢%4
- Lee Jun-seok 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?4¢%4
- Tom Homan 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?4¢%4
- Brandon Johnson 2027'den önce tutuklanacak mı?4¢%4
- %1%10,5John Brennan$41,7 B hacim
- %8,3James Comey$42,4 B hacim
- %2%7,5Mahmoud Khalil$5,3 B hacim
- %7James Clapper$10,6 B hacim
- %1%6,3Candace Owens$342,3 hacim
- %5,5Susan Rice$2,4 B hacim
- %4,5Letitia James$8,3 B hacim
- %4,3Pam Bondi$4,9 B hacim
- %4,1José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero$32,3 B hacim
- %4Lee Jun-seok$1,6 B hacim
- %3,6Tom Homan$52,4 B hacim
- %3,5Brandon Johnson$4,1 B hacim
Trader consensus in this multi-outcome market centers on ongoing federal investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials, with recent Department of Justice enforcement actions in October 2026—including charges against ex-FBI personnel for false statements—elevating focus on John Brennan and James Comey. Mahmoud Khalil draws attention from immigration-related proceedings. The resolution window closes December 31, 2026, requiring confirmed physical custody by law enforcement for any outcome to trigger yes shares. Broader patterns of probes into prior administration figures and protest cases shape positioning, though modest implied probabilities across all candidates reflect uncertainty over indictment timing and completion before year-end.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.