- Abbas Araghchi, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD ile İran arasındaki bir diplomatik toplantıya katılacak mı?39¢%39
- Jared Kushner, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?38¢%38
- Steve Witkoff 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar bir ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?38¢%38
- J.D. Vance, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar bir ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?31¢%31
- Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?30¢%30
- Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar bir ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?28¢%28
- Kazem Gharibabadi, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?26¢%26
- Majid Takht-Ravanchi, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?24¢%24
- Nick Stewart, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?22¢%22
- Rafael Grossi, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD ile İran arasındaki bir diplomatik toplantıya katılacak mı?22¢%22
- İshaq Dar, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar bir ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?16¢%16
- Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısına katılacak mı?14¢%14
%1%38,5Abbas Araghchi$27,4 B hacim
%38Jared Kushner$108,4 B hacim
%1%38Steve Witkoff$221,2 B hacim
%10%30,5J.D. Vance$103,4 B hacim
%6%29,5Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani$192,6 B hacim
%1%28Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf$141,6 B hacim
%26%26Kazem Gharibabadi$63,2 B hacim
%23,5Majid Takht-Ravanchi$69,1 B hacim
%1%22Nick Stewart$58,6 B hacim
%6%21,5Rafael Grossi$87 B hacim
%1%15,5İshaq Dar$95,5 B hacim
%2%14,5Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi$82,2 B hacim
US-Iran diplomacy remains indirect and mediated primarily by Qatar, with recent Doha and Tehran exchanges focused on proposals to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease sanctions, and address Iran's nuclear program in exchange for de-escalation steps. As of early November 2026, both sides continue reviewing mediator drafts following US limited strikes on Qeshm island and post-midterm signals from President Trump, yet Iranian officials report the US response to Tehran's seven conditions remains unconvincing while emphasizing no immediate direct meetings. Persistent gaps on nuclear concessions, blockades, and guarantees continue to shape the timeline for any formal round before year-end, alongside risks of renewed military action.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.